Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.842146 5.585894 6.404549 7.372387 8.485346 9.725183 11.211422
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.947564 4.951889 6.150954 7.687653 9.605039 11.919280 14.926545
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.156459 4.261531 5.678265 7.626951 10.238377 13.618994 18.332813
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.780495 4.009686 5.689343 8.150706 11.666743 16.512351 23.708026
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.434008 3.726560 5.598055 8.502733 12.899361 19.311734 29.392585
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.087490 3.376369 5.344190 8.563446 13.701379 21.593285 34.663739
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.711176 2.912100 4.837900 8.145719 13.690125 22.623829 38.149381
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.556743 2.776630 4.823474 8.500821 14.949345 25.807968 45.534027
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.466966 2.733601 4.950508 9.103736 16.699518 30.025279 55.252271
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.331090 2.585140 4.869238 9.320899 17.791868 33.238534 63.639382
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.201654 2.426982 4.744538 9.433604 18.697359 36.217963 71.990466
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.046817 2.194873 4.445894 9.165971 18.830753 37.757534 77.778107
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.898009 1.956120 4.108350 8.788622 18.727692 38.893922 83.082442
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.820928 1.855095 4.034188 8.941688 19.734774 42.391933 93.766772
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.722776 1.692746 3.807980 8.736720 19.952067 44.287399 101.333121
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.692746 1.678701 3.900358 9.247933 21.817660 49.964399 118.066868
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.652429 1.634196 3.917786 9.590264 23.349654 55.114692 134.364862
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.596059 1.541927 3.811114 9.623331 24.159863 58.729752 147.588663
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.515976 1.377678 3.508621 9.133410 23.629698 59.120937 153.053101
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.492618 1.355527 3.551928 9.517754 25.337854 65.155090 173.503041
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.484366 1.372139 3.695632 10.183287 27.866983 73.575703 201.328013
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.456136 1.329650 3.679265 10.420308 29.298055 79.385936 223.104545
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.425530 1.275579 3.624024 10.542622 30.435522 84.580749 243.974796